Two weeks from Election Day in Virginia, most observers are getting very comfortable with the idea that Terry McAuliffe will overcome the powerful myth that the party controlling the White House always loses gubernatorial races in the Commonwealth (based on the outcomes of the last nine contests) and beat Republican Ken Cuccinelli, mainly because of Cooch’s extremism but aided by a backlash against the government shutdown engineered by his partisan and ideological friends up the road in D.C.
But today’s Rasmussen poll from Virginia is still startling: it shows T-Mac opening up a 17 point lead on Cooch (50/33, with 8% for Libertarian Robert Sarvis). This is a poll of likely voters, BTW, so it shows a race not terribly vulnerable to surprising turnout patterns.
Rasmussen’s last poll of this race a month ago had McAuliffe up 44/38, so the latest finding reflects a clear shift of support from one candidate to the other.
This is what's going to happen all over the country. One result, as the Republicans, led by the Tea Party fanatics, crumble into obscurity, is that gun control will finally make its long-overdue comeback.
The 2014 election is still more than a year away. Your side tends to forget, while we never do.
ReplyDeleteOk so you win the governorship, then in the same election cycle you have to flip the VA house,
ReplyDeleteRepublican Party (67)
Democratic Party (31)
Independent (1)
Not a likely feat since the house has run ~58%R-40%D-02%I for the last 16 years
and still have to wait till November 2015 for a Senate election.
Then to top it all off since Virginia is currently the only state in the U.S. in which governors cannot serve consecutive terms, you get to try all over again in 4 years with a different gun grabbing moron.
So good luck with that great gun-control takeover......
Bloomberg is pissing his money away....
Win the governorship, which you only get to keep for 4 years, btw....
ReplyDeleteGood luck in the 58%R-40%D-02%I house for the last 16 years...
And the evenly split Senate.....
Bloomberg is pissing away his money.....
Here is an interesting evaluation of some of the media used in the campaign:
ReplyDeletehttp://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/wp/2013/10/25/misleading-images-in-bloombergs-ad-attacking-cuccinelli-on-guns/
"Emotional attack ads need to be scrupulous with the facts. While this ad does not identify the killers, the images are so familiar to Americans that many should be able to identify at least one of them.
We have a reasonable-person test here. Most viewers would assume the gun-show loophole would have thwarted all of these attacks, but that’s not the case. Thus it is misleading to use these images in the ad.
"Three Pinocchios"