Wednesday, February 19, 2014

California Concealed Carry Permits Could Reach 1.4 Million in the First Year

CalGuns Foundation

--(Ammoland.com)-   Following the Ninth Circuit decision holding “good cause” requirements unconstitutional, The Calguns Foundation projects that the number of California carry licensees will skyrocket during the first year of effective “shall-issue” licensing.
According to data sent to The Calguns Foundation by the California Department of Justice, the number of California CCW licensees in 2013 totaled about 56,000.
However, in applying projections to state and county population figures from the state’s Department of Finance, Calguns believes that the number of licensees in California might reach as high as 1.4 million in the Golden State during the first year of a “shall issue” system.

It seems I'm not the only one in the prediction business. But at least mine make sense.

14 comments:

  1. Its quite possible. In the first month of accepting carry permit applications, Illinois received over 33,000 applications.

    "Police across Illinois have objected to just 236 applications from people seeking to carry concealed weapons out of 33,631 submitted to the state police."
    http://www.myfoxchicago.com/story/24601972/illinois-concealed-carry-permits-may-come-in-march-few-under-review

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 33,000 a month, even if that pace continued, is a far cry from 1.4 million.

      Delete
    2. No one is claiming the possibility of 1.4 million in the first year in Illinois, genius.

      Delete
  2. Do you disagree with the prediction here? Look at what happened in Wisconsin when it went shall issue.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I find the prediction absurdly high.

      Delete
  3. It is the most populous state in the union. Even with relatively low gun ownership rates, they’ll still be lots of people going for their permits. Though I think Mike is right. California will find a way of making it take 2 years to get your permit, so there’s no way they could get that many in the first year.

    Peruta isn’t a done deal yet, but if California does start issuing permits to all good people who apply, wouldn’t you call that a ‘big deal’, Mike? Or would you say that hundreds of thousands, if not over a million new carry permits in CA is no biggie because other circuits remain spilt on carry rights?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We'll see what happens. I don't think the intelligent and educated folks of CA will stand for it. Do you? This kind of shit works best in places like Louisiana and Georgia.

      Delete
    2. If the federal courts say they have to do it, what are these "intelligent and educated folks of CA" (snicker) going to do about it?

      Rebel?

      Delete
    3. Mikeb, you know educated and intelligent people who carry.

      Delete
    4. We know you are not one.

      Delete
    5. I don't think the intelligent and educated folks of CA will stand for it.

      Say, Mikeb, did you hear this about what's going on with "the intelligent and educated folks of CA"?

      Dealers sold more than 510,000 handguns in California during 2014, more than double the number sold four years prior, according to new figures from the state Department of Justice.

      Handgun sales in 2014 set a new California record, far outpacing the prior high of 433,000 handguns sold in 1993, near the time violent crime peaked in the state.


      But fear not, disarmament zealots--there is something going your way:

      Long gun sales slipped by 120,000 from 2013 to 2014.

      Oh, wait--maybe that's not going so well for you. either:

      The 418,000 long guns sales in 2014 represent the third highest number on record, trailing behind 2012 and 2013.

      Oh dear--so while long gun sales in 2014 were lower than in 2013, the three years of 2012-2014 still represent the three record-setting years for greatest number of long gun sales in California history.

      It does seem that California has some "intelligent and educated" folks.

      Delete
  4. It seems I'm not the only one in the prediction business. But at least mine make sense.

    What part of their methodology do you find less than convincing?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. "Methodology?" Is that what you asked about, Kurt? You're so impressive when you break out the 5-syllable words.

      Delete
    2. Mikeb, going for sarcasm instead of answering the question.

      Delete