“These numbers reflect all transactions and the current status of permits, since the inception of the CCW program in Arizona on September 8, 1994,” azdps.gov‘s website informs above concealed carry stats revealed today. “Please note, these numbers do not reflect changes, such as a permit that was suspended and later reinstated.” Regardless, we’re looking at 212k permits in a state with some six million legal residents. Not a bad tally, both in absolute numbers and as a percentage of the total population. Then again, we are talking about a state bordering on Mexico, where drug cartel violence spills over like salsa out of a broken, overstuffed taco shell. And a state with Constitutional Carry. Make the jump for the demographic breakdown for the Copper State’s concealed carriers . . . [h/t AL]
Current Arizona Statistics
Statistics Last Updated: 2/2/2014 7:06:56 AM
Active Suspended Revoked
212086 3079 1155
It looks like about 3.5% of the overall population in Arizona has a concealed carry permit. When you consider that the population figure includes children and young people who are not eligible, you've got your 6% that we've seen in the past.In addition to that, Constitutional Carry means that only those who want to take advantage of interstate reciprocity bother with the permit. So we're talking about a much higher percentage of the adult population carrying guns. The actual figure of people carrying guns in a given crowd would be, what, 10%, maybe 15%? (I'll have to go back and adjust my estimates concerning the Loughner shooting which were based on only 6%.)
The suspended and revoked numbers add up to a full 2% of the total permit holders. This is a good bit higher than the bogus numbers we keep hearing about in places like Florida, Texas and Minnesota. And considering that Arizona is one of the most gun-friendly and gun-tolerant states in the country, the percentage of concealed carry fuck-ups is quite high, as you would expect.
“These numbers reflect all transactions and the current status of permits, since the inception of the CCW program in Arizona on September 8, 1994,” azdps.gov‘s website informs above concealed carry stats revealed today."
ReplyDeleteSo that includes suspensions and revocations over the past 19 years. While you cant look over the records back to the beginning of the program, but if divided evenly it would seem to come to 162 suspensions per year and 60 revocations per year. That comes to a bit less than the numbers you've given I think.
Is that how you do it? You count the cumulative number of permit holders and divide that into the problem cases PER YEAR. No wonder you guys have such good stats.
DeleteMike, Minnesota puts out an annual report. They are all available online so you can calculate the percentage in any given year. Maybe I'm not a good reader, but the Arizona site seems to suggest that the current number of permits is the stated number, yet suspensions and revocations are cumulative since they started issuing permits.
DeleteIf the suspensions and revocations are indeed cumulative, then you need to divide by 19 to get the yearly average. If both figures are cumulative, then you cant use the number to calculate percentage of total population right now.
Or, maybe what we need to do is count the new permits issued in a particular year and divide that number into the number of suspensions and revocations for that year.
DeleteThe numbers that you post here show that carry license holders are doing well as a group. If you were correct, the percentage of suspensions or revocations should be something like, oh, what is that number you keep claiming--oh, yes, fifty percent.
ReplyDeleteWell, you said it, Greg.
DeleteAre you then agreeing with me that the numbers don't support your claim?
DeleteNo, I'm agreeing with your remark about the 50%.
DeleteMikeb, don't be a petulant child. I said, "if you were correct...." Please review the subjunctive mood and get back to me.
Delete